The Rams have not looked right all season
It is crazy to think that this time last season Jared Goff was one of the leading candidates for NFL MVP. Fast forward one year and there is a 0% chance he wins the award this season. The Los Angeles Rams have not looked right all year, and one of the reasons has been the inconsistent play of the young QB. The Rams have managed to win three of their last four games, but they are just 3-3 over the last 6 weeks. Although they have won 3 of 4 they have not looked good doing it.
Last weekend the Rams looked awful and were very lucky to escape with a victory against the Chicago Bears. I had thought that Goff’s struggles were primarily on the road this season. I also thought that Goff would play well at home last week coming in off the road loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers. I was wrong on both accounts.
If there has been a bright spot for this Rams offense the past few weeks it’s been a resurgence of Rams running back Todd Gurley. He has been a nonfactor for most of the season, but his production has improved the last two weeks. It’s probably because McVay doesn’t trust Jared Goff behind center right now, and he is forced to lean harder on Gurley but the question is, will Gurley’s legs be able to withstand the heavier load.
While the offense has struggled this season, the defense has remained pretty solid. In multiple defensive efficiency ratings that I use, the Rams are still a top 10 defense. Football Outsiders currently has the Rams as the 8th best defense in football. I’m not sure if the eye test says the same thing but we all know that these games are played out on spreadsheets and the numbers matter, so if the numbers say they are a top 10 defense, that is what they are.
The Rams are at serious risk of making the playoffs this season. While technically they might not be in a must-win position yet, when you take a look at the NFC championship landscape they are going to have to win almost all their remaining games to realistically make the playoffs.
Rams vs. Ravens prediction
So, who wins this game? Based on what we’ve seen the last month, you have to think the Ravens win on Monday night but the problem is, it’s not always that easy. Does anyone really want to step in front of this Baltimore Ravens team right now? The playoff picture has basically forced the Rams into desperation mode, and I understand why people would want to take the desperate team getting a field goal at home, but I just can’t step in front of this Baltimore Ravens team considering how well they have played the last 4 weeks.
I don’t really a thought on the total, but it is interesting to note that this total opened in the NFL odds board at 49 and is down to 46.5. I have to contribute that to how bad the Rams offense has looked this season and how improved the Ravens defense has looked the last month. I am off the total, but I will bite the bullet and lay the field goal on Monday night.
I am not stepping in front of this train. Had the Ravens defense not improved, I would have been on the other side Monday. Now, that the Ravens are locked in defensively I feel comfortable with my NFL pick laying the number because the Ravens are going to get their points Monday. The way this defense is playing they should further expose Jared Goff for the mediocre quarterback he has come to be this season.
NFL pick: Baltimore Ravens -3 (-110)
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